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Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and...



Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2017 Jun 28 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. Region 2664 (N18W25, Hsx/alpha) underwent decay and was inactive. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed in available satellite imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for C-class flares over the next three days (28-30 Jun).

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to persist at normal to moderate levels for the next three days (28-30 Jun). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were nominal throughout the period. Solar wind speed was between 440 - 475 km/s. Total field strength was between 1 and 5 nT while the Bz component dropped as low as -3 nT. Phi angle was predominantly positive throughout the reporting period.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to reflect a nominal solar wind environment through day one (28 Jun). Late on day two (29 Jun) and early into day three (30 Jun) there will likely be a minor enhancement from a positive polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for day one (28 Jun). Quiet to unsettled conditions are likely late on days two and three (29-30 Jun) due to the anticipated influence from an equatorial, positive polarity CH HSS.

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