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Friday, June 30, 2017

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and...



Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2017 Jun 30 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 2664 (N18W52, Hsx/alpha) continued its decaying trend and produced no flare activity over the past 24 hours.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels with a slight chance for C-class flares all three days (30 Jun-02 Jul).

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux continued at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels all three days (30 Jun-02 Jul) and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters indicated nominal conditions. Total magnetic field strength ranged from 3-6 nT and the Bz component reached a maximum southward deflection of -5 nT. Solar wind speeds steadily declined from 450 km/s to near 340 km/s by the periods end. Phi angle was predominantly oriented in the positive sector.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to remain at near-background levels on days one and two (30 Jun - 01 Jul). An enhancement is anticipated late on day three (02 Jul) due to the arrival of the 28 June CME.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet over days one and two (30 Jun-01 Jul). Unsettled to active conditions are expected late on day three (02 Jul) due to the anticipated arrival of the 28 June CME.

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