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Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and...



Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2017 Jun 27 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. Region 2664 (N18W13, Dsi/beta) was stable and inactive. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed in available satellite imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for C-class flares over the next three days (27-29 Jun).

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to persist at normal to moderate levels for the next three days (27-29 Jun). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, indicated continued waning influence from a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speed gradually decreased from near 550 km/s to 450 km/s by periods end. Total field strength was between 1 and 6 nT while the Bz component dropped as low as -3 nT. Phi angle was predominantly positive throughout the reporting period.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to reflect recovery from the positive polarity CH HSS early on day one (27 Jun), returning to a nominal solar wind environment. Nominal conditions are expected to continue into day two (28 Jun) and early into day three (29 Jun). Later on day three there will likely be a minor enhancement from a positive polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet for days one and two (27-28 Jun) due to waning CH HSS effects. Quiet to unsettled conditions are likely late on day three (29 Jun) due to the anticipated influence from an equatorial, positive polarity CH HSS.

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