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Tuesday, June 6, 2017

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and...



Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2017 Jun 05 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2661 (N06E20, Eao/beta-delta) produced a C2/Sf flare at 05/0514 UTC, the strongest of the period. Only minor changes were observed in the region over the past 24 hours. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: There is a diminishing chance for C-class flares over the next three days (05-07 Jun) with a slight chance for isolated M-class (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate) flare activity on day one (05 Jun).

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels over the next three days (05-07 Jun) and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were indicate of a return to a nominal solar wind environment. Total magnetic field strength was between 2-5 nT and there were no significant periods of Bz south. Solar wind speeds were in steady decline, decreasing from 450 km/s to around 350-375 km/s by the periods end. Phi angle was oriented in the positive sector.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to persist at near-background levels under a nominal solar wind regime throughout the forecast period (05-07 Jun).

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet under a background solar wind environment.

Forecast: Generally quiet geomagnetic field conditions are expected to prevail throughout the forecast period (05-07 Jun).

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