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Saturday, July 29, 2017

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and...



Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2017 Jul 29 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low and no events were observed this period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels on day one (29 Jul). An increasing chance for C-class flare activity on days two and three (30-31 Jul) and slight chance for M-Class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) events by day three (31 Jul) are likely due to the anticipated return of old Region 2665.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels this period with a peak flux of 14,317 pfu observed at 28/1510 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on days one and two (29-30 Jul) with only normal to moderate levels likely on day three (31 Jul) due to a predicted period of enhanced geomagnetic field activity.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters continued to trend towards nominal conditions due to the waning influence of a CH HSS.

Forecast: The near-Earth solar wind environment is expected to continue at background levels on days one and two (29-30 Jul) with a weak enhancement expected on day three (31 Jul) due to the influence of a negative polarity CH HSS.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled this period from the lingering influence of a waning CH HSS.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on days one and two (29-30 Jul) under a nominal solar wind regime. Periods of active conditions are expected on day three (31 Jul) as a negative polarity CH HSS is expected to disturb Earths magnetosphere.

Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://ift.tt/17yXOGK

Live Aurora mapping is at http://ift.tt/2lYUS2h

If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: + http://ift.tt/1iWH4ta + http://ift.tt/1wJXm19

Check out the stunning view of our Sun in action, as seen during the last five years with the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXN-MdoGM9g

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Visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com

See the live aurora mapping is at http://ift.tt/2lYUS2h

If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users:

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