Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2017 Jul 04 1230 UTC.
Solar Activity
24 hr Summary: Solar activity was at moderate levels. Numerous B-level enhancements, as well as an impulsive M1 flare observed at 03/1615 UTC, were associated with an an emerging sunspot group to the south of former Region 2664 (N18, L=314) just beyond the west limb. There were no numbered sunspot regions on the visible disk, and there were no Earth-directed CMEs observed in available satellite imagery.
Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels over the next three days (04-06 Jul) as the area producing this flare activity rotates beyond the west limb.
Energetic Particles
24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.
Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels over the next three days (04-06 Jul) and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.
Solar Wind
24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels. Wind speeds decreased from 425 km/s early to end of period speeds near 350 km/s. Total field was between 2 and 5 nT while the Bz component was variable between +/- 5 nT. The phi angle was mostly negative.
Forecast: Weak enhancements are expected in the solar wind environment over the next three days (04-06 Jul), and the chance Earth may interface with a negative polarity CH HSS, originating from an ill-defined CH in the southern hemisphere.
Geospace
24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
Forecast: Geomagnetic field conditions are expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels over the next three days (04-06 Jul), followed by the potential onset of a CH HSS on day two (05 Jul), lasting into day three (06 Jul).
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