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Monday, July 24, 2017

Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and...



Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2017 Jul 24 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity remained at very low levels under a spotless visible disk. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available satellite imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one through three (24-26 Jul).

Energetic Particles

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at moderate to high levels with a peak of 5,776 pfu observed at 23/1530 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels during the reporting period.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels over the next three days (24-26 Jul). The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters reflected the continued influence of a positive polarity CH HSS. Solar wind speed began the period near 550 km/s, increased to 707 km/s at 24/0416 UTC and gradually decreased to end the period at about 600 km/s. Total field measurements ranged between 2 and 9 nT while the Bz component was variable between +/- 5 nT. The phi angle was in a predominately positive orientation.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to exhibit a gradual waning trend towards nominal conditions throughout the forecast period (24-26 Jul).

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to continued positive polarity CH HSS effects.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominately quiet to unsettled levels on day one and two (24-25 Jul) as CH HSS influence slowly wanes. Mostly quiet conditions are expected to prevail on day three (26 Jul) as nominal conditions return.

Don’t forget to visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://ift.tt/17yXOGK

Live Aurora mapping is at http://ift.tt/2lYUS2h

If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users: + http://ift.tt/1iWH4ta + http://ift.tt/1wJXm19

Check out the stunning view of our Sun in action, as seen during the last five years with the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXN-MdoGM9g

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Visit our live space weather and radio propagation web site, at: http://SunSpotWatch.com

See the live aurora mapping is at http://ift.tt/2lYUS2h

If you are on Twitter, please follow these two users:

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